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Cite this paper: |
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LIU Qingrong, LI Jian, RUAN Chengqing, YIN Zhonghui, JIAO Yan, SUN Qing, LIAN Xihu, ZHONG Shan. Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province[J]. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2019, 37(6): 2014-2024 |
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Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province |
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| LIU Qingrong, LI Jian, RUAN Chengqing, YIN Zhonghui, JIAO Yan, SUN Qing, LIAN Xihu, ZHONG Shan |
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| North China Sea Marine Forecasting Center, Ministry of Natural Resources (MNR), Qingdao 266061, China |
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| Abstract: |
| Sea level rise is a slow-onset disaster. We collected information about the natural and ecological environments, tides and sea levels, and socio-economic aspects to investigate the distribution and zoning of the risks from sea level rise across Shandong Province. The trends in sea level in different counties of Shandong Province were predicted using moving averages and a random dynamic analysis forecasting model, and the model outputs and socio-economic indicators were combined to assess the risks. The results show that the risks of sea level rise along the western coast of Bohai Bay and Laizhou Bay in Shandong Province were sufficiently large to warrant attention. |
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| Key words:
sea level rise|risk assessment|risk zoning
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| Received: 2018-09-07 Revised: 2018-12-05 |
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